Champions League . Last 16
Global 1-1
Arsenal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 1
BRE
76%
15%
9%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 6
ARS
11%
20%
69%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
ARS
11%
19%
71%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 5
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
FCP
13%
21%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 0
SLB
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
ARS
11%
19%
71%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |