Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
4 - 2
VOR
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
ARS
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
WHU
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHL
3 - 2
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 3
WHU
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 1
HUR
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
EVE
3 - 1
ROT
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 2
EVE
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EVE
2 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |