UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 1-0
Arsenal vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EVE
2 - 2
ARS
35%
25%
40%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BJK
0 - 0
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 1
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 0
MAC
26%
23%
51%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 1
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BJK
0 - 0
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
BJK
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
BJK
1 - 2
CHL
15%
21%
65%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
BJK
3 - 1
FEY
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 2
BJK
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |