Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 3-1
Arsenal vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 0
ARS
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 2
ARS
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
73%
15%
11%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 3
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 0
ARS
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 2
WOL
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 3
BAT
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 2
BAT
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 0
FHV
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |