Arsenal vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
2 - 0
ARS
18%
24%
57%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
REA
85%
12%
4%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
BBU
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
THU
0 - 1
ARS
17%
24%
59%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WIG
2 - 3
ARS
12%
22%
66%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 0
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |