Arsenal vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 6
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
CHL
30%
24%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
PLY
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 4
AFC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
5 - 3
OPA
31%
23%
45%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 1
OXF
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
IPS
2 - 2
AFC
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |