Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth analysis

Arsenal AFC Bournemouth
96 ELO 90
-0.1% Tilt 4.7%
18º General ELO ranking 76º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
66.9%
Arsenal
19.5%
Draw
13.6%
AFC Bournemouth

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Win probability
AFC Bournemouth
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-2%
AFC Bournemouth

Points and table prediction

Arsenal
Their league position
AFC Bournemouth
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
56
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liverpool
84
84
100%
Arsenal
74
74
100%
Manchester City
71
71
100%
Chelsea
69
69
100%
Newcastle
66
66
100%
Aston Villa
66
66
100%
Nottingham Forest
65
65
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
61
61
100%
AFC Bournemouth
56
56
0%
Brentford
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Fulham
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Crystal Palace
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Everton
13º
48
48
13º
100%
West Ham
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Manchester United
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Wolves
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
17º
38
38
17º
100%
Leicester
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Ipswich Town
19º
22
22
19º
100%
Southampton
20º
12
12
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2025
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 1
PSG
PSG
26%
22%
52%
97 99 2 0
23 Apr. 2025
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 2
Crystal Palace
CRY
67%
20%
13%
97 91 6 0
20 Apr. 2025
IPS
Ipswich Town
0 - 4
Arsenal
ARS
14%
21%
65%
96 83 13 +1
16 Apr. 2025
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
80%
13%
7%
96 100 4 0
12 Apr. 2025
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Brentford
BRE
70%
19%
12%
96 88 8 0

Matches

AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
31%
26%
44%
89 92 3 0
19 Apr. 2025
CRY
Crystal Palace
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
44%
25%
32%
89 90 1 0
14 Apr. 2025
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 0
Fulham
FUL
42%
26%
32%
89 89 0 0
05 Apr. 2025
WHU
West Ham
2 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
42%
24%
34%
89 89 0 0
02 Apr. 2025
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
IPS
60%
22%
18%
89 82 7 0