Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 0
ARS
27%
24%
49%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
16%
22%
63%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLP
0 - 3
ARS
24%
21%
55%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 0
CRY
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
WBA
1 - 2
BOU
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 1
MUD
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
0 - 1
BOU
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
3 - 3
EVE
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |