Arsenal Tula vs Volga Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
SOK
1 - 1
ARS
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 0
SKA
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 0
VLA
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 2
TYU
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
YEN
0 - 2
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
VNN
2 - 2
ZEN
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
VNN
0 - 7
SPA
16%
21%
64%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RAD
1 - 0
VNN
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
VNN
1 - 0
FAK
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
VNN
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |