Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 3
ARS
17%
26%
57%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
UFA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
KHI
1 - 1
ARS
17%
26%
56%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
4 - 0
YAR
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
GAZ
2 - 2
ARS
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neftekhimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 0
NEF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 3
SAL
49%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
VLA
0 - 0
NEF
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 1
BAL
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |