Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 0-4
Arsenal Tula vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
KRS
2 - 3
ARS
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 1
DIN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 3
ARS
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ARS
0 - 0
VLA
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
ARS
0 - 4
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
FKN
6 - 0
SPE
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 3
FKN
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 3
FKN
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FKN
2 - 3
QAR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FKQ
1 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |