Arsenal Tula vs FC Oryol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 2
ANZ
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHE
34%
29%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
NAL
1 - 0
ARS
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
ARS
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
DIN
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Oryol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FCO
2 - 2
CHE
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
FCO
0 - 0
ANZ
31%
30%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
FCO
77%
17%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
NAL
0 - 0
FCO
51%
28%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
FCO
0 - 1
BAL
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |