Arsenal Tula vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
ARS
1 - 0
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1999 |
TOR
1 - 1
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1999 |
KRI
1 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1999 |
ARS
5 - 0
FCR
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1999 |
ARS
4 - 1
TVN
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1999 |
ZNA
0 - 1
FAK
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1999 |
FAK
2 - 0
TOM
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1999 |
FAK
2 - 1
TYU
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1999 |
YEN
2 - 1
FAK
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1999 |
FCC
2 - 1
FAK
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |