Arsenal Tula vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
SAC
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
NAR
2 - 1
ARS
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
MET
2 - 0
ARS
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
SOK
0 - 1
ARS
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 0
FCO
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
NAR
2 - 0
DNE
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
DNE
1 - 3
BAL
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
DNE
1 - 1
PRE
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |