Arsenal Tula vs BSK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
DVO
0 - 2
ARS
18%
26%
56%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
ARS
12%
24%
64%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
ARS
3 - 0
SVE
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 0
ZEN
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 0
MOS
75%
18%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
BSK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
BSK
1 - 1
SAC
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
BSK
2 - 0
FKV
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
PET
1 - 0
BSK
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
DVO
0 - 1
BSK
49%
25%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
BSK
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |