Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
11º
31
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 1
ARS
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 0
SKA
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 1
ARS
17%
19%
65%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 2
ARS
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
ZEN
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
STR
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
KPP
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KHI
3 - 2
STR
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FDV
2 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |