Arsenal Tula II vs Spartak Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
14º
24
2º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 65 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 65 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 59 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 53 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 53 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 22 |
15º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 13 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ROM
2 - 1
ARS
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 3
ZVE
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 0
ORE
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FKO
1 - 1
ARS
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ARS
2 - 1
DIN
15%
24%
62%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 1
DIN
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
MET
2 - 1
SPA
50%
26%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
ROT
73%
16%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 4
SAL
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |