Arsenal Tula II vs Gubkin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 4
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 0
SOK
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
FAK
0 - 0
ARS
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
4 - 0
SPA
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 1
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
FKG
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 0
FCM
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
FKG
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FKG
0 - 1
ZVE
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |