Arsenal U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 6
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIV
31%
23%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MCI
4 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 3
MUN
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
TOT
1 - 2
DER
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
DER
3 - 2
WHU
37%
23%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
DER
3 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 2
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
LEI
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |