Arsenal U21 vs Derby County U21 analysis

Arsenal U21 Derby County U21
54 ELO 39
16.6% Tilt 9.9%
4073º General ELO ranking 6846º
110º Country ELO ranking 256º
ELO win probability
72.4%
Arsenal U21
16.1%
Draw
11.5%
Derby County U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
Arsenal U21
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.5%
Win probability
Derby County U21
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal U21
-19%
+17%
Derby County U21

Points and table prediction

Arsenal U21
Their league position
Derby County U21
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
19
17º
24º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
23º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City U21
47
47
100%
Fulham U21
45
45
100%
Chelsea U21
38
38
0%
West Ham U21
38
38
0%
Man. Utd U21
36
36
100%
Crystal Palace U21
35
35
100%
Southampton U21
34
34
100%
Arsenal U21
33
33
100%
Newcastle U21
32
32
100%
Leicester U21
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Brighton & Hove U21
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Everton U21
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Sunderland U21
13º
28
28
13º
0%
Wolves U21
14º
28
28
14º
0%
Nottingham Forest U21
15º
27
27
15º
0%
Liverpool U21
16º
27
27
16º
0%
Leeds United U21
17º
25
25
17º
0%
West Bromwich U21
18º
25
25
18º
0%
Middlesbrough U21
19º
22
22
19º
100%
Reading U21
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Blackburn Rovers U21
21º
20
20
21º
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U21
22º
19
19
22º
0%
Derby County U21
23º
19
19
23º
0%
Norwich City U21
24º
18
18
24º
100%
Stoke City U21
25º
15
15
25º
100%
Aston Villa U21
26º
12
12
26º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arsenal U21
Derby County U21
Final Series
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Arsenal U21
Derby County U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal U21
Arsenal U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2025
NOR
Norwich City U21
0 - 3
Arsenal U21
ARS
32%
23%
46%
54 42 12 0
14 Mar. 2025
EVE
Everton U21
1 - 2
Arsenal U21
ARS
34%
23%
43%
53 46 7 +1
03 Mar. 2025
CRY
Crystal Palace U21
2 - 2
Arsenal U21
ARS
44%
24%
32%
53 52 1 0
21 Feb. 2025
ARS
Arsenal U21
4 - 1
Newcastle U21
NWC
69%
17%
14%
53 41 12 0
14 Feb. 2025
ARS
Arsenal U21
2 - 1
Middlesbrough U21
MID
68%
17%
15%
53 39 14 0

Matches

Derby County U21
Derby County U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2025
STC
Stoke City U21
5 - 3
Derby County U21
DCO
33%
22%
46%
40 32 8 0
28 Feb. 2025
DCO
Derby County U21
0 - 1
West Ham U21
WHU
25%
23%
52%
40 57 17 0
24 Feb. 2025
LEI
Leicester U21
2 - 1
Derby County U21
DCO
55%
23%
23%
41 46 5 -1
15 Feb. 2025
DCO
Derby County U21
1 - 2
Leeds United U21
LUS
45%
23%
32%
42 44 2 -1
10 Feb. 2025
NOT
Nottingham Forest U21
1 - 1
Derby County U21
DCO
59%
21%
20%
41 50 9 +1