Arsenal U18 vs Southampton U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
11º
11º
24
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AST
3 - 1
ARS
11%
16%
72%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
2 - 2
BHA
72%
16%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 2
ARS
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
4 - 4
WBA
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARS
4 - 1
TOT
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 6
SOU
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 5
FUL
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRY
3 - 2
SOU
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 2
CHE
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WHU
4 - 1
SOU
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |