Arsenal U18 vs Aston Villa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+258%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
11º
11º
24
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 2
ARS
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WHU
2 - 0
ARS
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 2
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOT
3 - 2
ARS
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRY
4 - 3
ARS
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
AST
4 - 2
LEI
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AST
3 - 2
NOR
72%
16%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
WBA
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 1
AST
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
BHA
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |