Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 4-0
Arsenal Kyiv vs Jokerit Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
ARS
3 - 0
KRY
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
KPT
1 - 0
ARS
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
ARS
0 - 1
MED
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
PFC
1 - 0
ARS
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
MET
2 - 1
ARS
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jokerit Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
JOK
1 - 0
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2001 |
JOK
0 - 2
MYP
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2001 |
PK3
0 - 2
JOK
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
INT
1 - 0
JOK
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
ROP
3 - 1
JOK
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |