Arsenal TO vs SD Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
76.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
AEC
2 - 6
TOC
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AEC
3 - 2
CAC
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SDS
1 - 0
ARA
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TOC
2 - 1
SDS
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
INT
3 - 1
SDS
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SDS
2 - 0
ARA
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
SDS
18%
19%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |