Arsenal CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
LEM
1 - 0
ACF
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
ACF
2 - 2
ARO
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ASP
2 - 3
ACF
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
ARE
1 - 0
ACF
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ACF
2 - 2
FOZ
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
LUG
4 - 0
FOZ
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
COM
1 - 1
LUG
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
LUG
4 - 0
CEL
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 0
LUG
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |