Arsenal CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
DEP
7 - 1
ACF
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
FOZ
2 - 1
ACF
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ACF
0 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LEM
4 - 1
ACF
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ACF
1 - 1
ARO
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
LUG
3 - 0
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
BUE
1 - 0
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -3 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
LUG
2 - 0
ATO
82%
11%
6%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
RCF
2 - 0
LUG
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
91%
6%
2%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |