Arsenal CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
VIV
0 - 4
ACF
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ACF
1 - 2
COX
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
ALO
1 - 2
ACF
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ACF
3 - 0
ZEL
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ACF
1 - 1
DEP
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
LUG
1 - 0
GRA
84%
10%
5%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
LEM
1 - 2
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
MAR
0 - 2
LUG
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
LUG
5 - 2
ARO
86%
10%
5%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |