Arsenal CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ORD
1 - 1
ACF
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ACF
3 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
ARO
5 - 2
ACF
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACF
48%
24%
29%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ACF
2 - 0
CEL
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
LUG
3 - 1
CEL
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
VIV
1 - 1
LUG
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LUG
6 - 0
CHO
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ZEL
1 - 2
LUG
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LUG
5 - 0
COX
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |