Arsenal CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
MAR
2 - 1
ACF
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ACF
2 - 0
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
BET
0 - 2
ACF
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ACF
5 - 2
RIB
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
LEM
3 - 0
ACF
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
LUG
1 - 1
CDO
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 0
LUG
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
LUG
6 - 0
FLA
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
LUG
5 - 1
ORD
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUG
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |