Arsenal CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACF
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ACF
4 - 0
BET
88%
8%
4%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
CDO
3 - 1
ACF
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
ACF
2 - 1
PON
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CEL
5 - 1
ACF
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
LUG
2 - 0
LEM
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
PON
1 - 0
LUG
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 0
LUG
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
LUG
6 - 1
BET
89%
8%
4%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CDO
0 - 2
LUG
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |