Arsenal CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
BUE
1 - 1
ACF
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ACF
7 - 1
FOZ
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
GRA
1 - 3
ACF
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 3
COM
18%
22%
61%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
RCF
5 - 1
ACF
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARO
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHO
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
DEP
2 - 1
CHO
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 0
BUE
80%
13%
8%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
FOZ
3 - 0
CHO
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |