Arsenal CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ALO
1 - 0
ACF
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
ACF
2 - 0
VIV
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
LEM
1 - 1
ACF
57%
22%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ACF
2 - 0
COX
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
ACF
1 - 1
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
CHO
2 - 1
GRA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHO
84%
10%
5%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CHO
7 - 0
SAN
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHO
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
CHO
2 - 1
ARO
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |