Arsenal CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ZEL
2 - 1
ACF
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ACF
5 - 0
COX
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
DEP
2 - 1
ACF
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACF
1 - 4
RCF
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 3
ACF
52%
22%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CHO
4 - 2
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
VIV
3 - 0
CHO
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CHO
3 - 0
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
CHO
5 - 2
ZEL
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
COX
1 - 3
CHO
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |