Arsenal CF vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
LUG
2 - 1
ACF
90%
8%
3%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 0
DEP
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ARO
0 - 1
ACF
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ACF
4 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
2 - 0
ACF
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
CEL
2 - 1
ARO
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
MAR
1 - 0
CEL
32%
25%
44%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 0
CEL
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
CEL
4 - 2
BUE
81%
13%
7%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FOZ
2 - 2
CEL
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |