Arsenal CF vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
LUG
7 - 1
ACF
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
COX
2 - 2
ACF
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
ACF
1 - 1
ALO
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ZEL
2 - 4
ACF
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ACF
5 - 0
FOZ
73%
16%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
CEL
0 - 0
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
CEL
3 - 2
ARO
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
MAR
2 - 1
CEL
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
CEL
1 - 1
BUE
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATO
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |