Arsenal CF vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ROB
3 - 0
ACF
66%
17%
17%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ACF
4 - 0
RAC
52%
21%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
POP
2 - 0
ACF
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ACF
2 - 1
CUL
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
PON
3 - 0
ACF
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
RAC
3 - 6
CDF
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
CDF
2 - 3
CUL
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ARO
5 - 2
CDF
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
CDF
2 - 2
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CDF
96%
3%
1%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |