Arsenal CF vs Júpiter Leonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
15.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ACF
1 - 0
TUR
74%
15%
12%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACF
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ACF
3 - 2
CEL
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CDO
1 - 3
ACF
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
ACF
4 - 1
RAC
79%
12%
9%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Júpiter Leonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
PON
5 - 1
LEO
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
LEO
5 - 2
CAL
78%
13%
10%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
VAL
2 - 3
LEO
62%
19%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
LEO
10 - 0
ARO
77%
13%
10%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
LEM
1 - 2
LEO
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |