Arsaghese vs Valceresio Audax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsaghese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 0
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 3
INS
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARS
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 1
GOR
36%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Valceresio Audax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
ISP
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
4 - 0
ANG
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 0
VAL
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
RAS
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
AMI
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |