Arroyo vs Zurbarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAC
1 - 2
ARR
61%
21%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 1
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 4
ARR
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 0
BRO
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
4 - 2
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 4
HER
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
COR
7 - 0
ZUR
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
2 - 0
CIU
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 2
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 0
GAR
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |