Arroyo vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
ARR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 0
GRA
28%
29%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
ARR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
ARR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 4
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
UCA
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 4
ROD
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RJA
1 - 2
UCA
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 0
BET
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +2 |