Arroyo vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
6º
44
1º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 0
ARR
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARR
0 - 1
AZU
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ADL
1 - 0
ARR
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 1
UCL
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
ARR
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
TRU
18%
22%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 0
CDD
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
TRU
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 1
ADL
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UCL
1 - 2
TRU
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |