Arroyo vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 1
ARR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AZU
2 - 1
ARR
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
JER
19%
24%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 0
ARR
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 1
PUE
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
TRU
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 1
TRU
52%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 0
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |