Arroyo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
46%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SRQ
4 - 0
ARR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
BET
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 1
ARR
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAD
4 - 0
ARR
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
CPC
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RJA
1 - 1
BET
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 3
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 0
CRD
75%
18%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
RJA
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
73%
18%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |