Arroyo vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
6º
24
15º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 0
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
3 - 2
CDD
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AZU
3 - 1
ARR
48%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
ADL
35%
25%
41%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UCL
0 - 1
ARR
28%
26%
47%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 0
PLA
74%
18%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
VIL
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 2
PLA
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 2
CAL
29%
25%
47%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |