Arroyo vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARR
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 1
TAL
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAL
0 - 3
ARR
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ARR
0 - 0
GIM
60%
21%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 2
ARR
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ORE
0 - 0
HER
17%
22%
61%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COR
9 - 0
ORE
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 4
CIU
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
5 - 2
ORE
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 1
GAR
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |