Arroyo vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
6º
31
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
ARR
33%
27%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
JER
1 - 2
ARR
58%
24%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
UDF
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MIA
2 - 1
ARR
30%
26%
44%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
TRU
14%
21%
65%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
MON
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
AZU
21%
25%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ADL
5 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
UCL
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |