Arroyo vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 4
ARR
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 0
BRO
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
4 - 2
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HER
0 - 1
ARR
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
3 - 2
COR
14%
20%
67%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MON
3 - 1
HER
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
COR
3 - 2
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MON
5 - 1
CIU
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAG
2 - 3
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
MON
4 - 0
GAR
82%
13%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |