Arroyo vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
41%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARR
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
ECI
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 3
ARR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
CAD
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ARR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 3
ALB
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |