Arroyo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MIA
0 - 4
ARR
14%
21%
65%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARR
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
VAL
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 2
ARR
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
MOR
84%
12%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
CHI
70%
20%
11%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
JER
1 - 3
SCF
6%
15%
80%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MIA
0 - 2
JER
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
JER
2 - 2
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |