Arroyo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SPV
2 - 1
ARR
60%
21%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 0
ARR
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 2
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SNV
1 - 1
ARR
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
DPC
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
JER
2 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
JER
17%
25%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JER
3 - 2
SAM
49%
27%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
JER
76%
16%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JER
1 - 1
MIA
54%
26%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |